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Latest Snow Totals
The 12z GFS is in and it essentially "cancels" the storm for the NY area and points east/north giving only a few inches. It keeps the blizzard across the Philly area including southern NJ, Maryland, Washington DC, Delaware and Virginia. They would all see one to two feet of wind driven snow based on this model. Look on the map to see what it projects for your area. Next up will be the Canadian model.
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Posted 1/21/16 11:32 AM  |
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Long Island Weddings
Long Island's Largest Bridal Resource |
Momma2015
Mommax2
Member since 12/12 6656 total posts
Name:
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
I am seriously hoping this is right!!! We are closing on our house next Wednesday and the seller is supposed to move on Saturday!!! 
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| Posted 1/21/16 11:33 AM |
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
I hope too as I don't want a foot or more of snow.
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| Posted 1/21/16 11:34 AM |
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Momma2015
Mommax2
Member since 12/12 6656 total posts
Name:
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by afternoondelight828
I hope too as I don't want a foot or more of snow.
Haha also that.
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| Posted 1/21/16 11:34 AM |
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ohbaby08
Winter is Coming
Member since 10/07 1718 total posts
Name:
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Latest Snow Totals
You left out the end where they say that this is only ONE model and not an actual forecast. Not really the "latest" snow totals.
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:00 PM |
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by ohbaby08
You left out the end where they say that this is only ONE model and not an actual forecast. Not really the "latest" snow totals.
Yeah but this one is the best one so far ;)
Their picture shows the totals. You can see it in fb.
Message edited 1/21/2016 12:10:38 PM.
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:10 PM |
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bunnyluck
LIF Adult
Member since 1/14 3196 total posts
Name:
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Latest Snow Totals
I heard 3 to 18 inches. What does that even mean???? Guess the weather man decided to cover all angles haha.
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:11 PM |
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Blazesyth
*yawn*
Member since 5/05 8129 total posts
Name:
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by afternoondelight828
Posted by ohbaby08
You left out the end where they say that this is only ONE model and not an actual forecast. Not really the "latest" snow totals.
Yeah but this one is the best one so far ;)
Their picture shows the totals. You can see it in fb.
The picture is a MODEL not a forecast. And because everything on Facebook is true! 
Why are weather MODELS so inaccurate?
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:13 PM |
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by Blazesyth
Posted by afternoondelight828
Posted by ohbaby08
You left out the end where they say that this is only ONE model and not an actual forecast. Not really the "latest" snow totals.
Yeah but this one is the best one so far ;)
Their picture shows the totals. You can see it in fb.
The picture is a MODEL not a forecast. And because everything on Facebook is true!
Why are weather MODELS so inaccurate?
Nope not everything on FB is real but many people trust Tri-State Weather and they are usually the most accurate.
I think I heard many people on here rely on it too.
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:17 PM |
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by bunnyluck
I heard 3 to 18 inches. What does that even mean???? Guess the weather man decided to cover all angles haha.
Bawahhhaa exactly.
I just like THIS model showing not much for LI lololol
Don't burst my bubble
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:18 PM |
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Blazesyth
*yawn*
Member since 5/05 8129 total posts
Name:
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by afternoondelight828
Posted by Blazesyth
Posted by afternoondelight828
Posted by ohbaby08
You left out the end where they say that this is only ONE model and not an actual forecast. Not really the "latest" snow totals.
Yeah but this one is the best one so far ;)
Their picture shows the totals. You can see it in fb.
The picture is a MODEL not a forecast. And because everything on Facebook is true!
Why are weather MODELS so inaccurate?
Nope not everything on FB is real but many people trust Tri-State Weather and they are usually the most accurate.
I think I heard many people on here rely on it too.
Ah yes, Mr. Meatball Man.
At least he tells everyone "This is just a MODEL and not a FORECAST if you don't understand what a MODEL is then don't read this post."
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:24 PM |
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by Blazesyth
Posted by afternoondelight828
Posted by Blazesyth
Posted by afternoondelight828
Posted by ohbaby08
You left out the end where they say that this is only ONE model and not an actual forecast. Not really the "latest" snow totals.
Yeah but this one is the best one so far ;)
Their picture shows the totals. You can see it in fb.
The picture is a MODEL not a forecast. And because everything on Facebook is true!
Why are weather MODELS so inaccurate?
Nope not everything on FB is real but many people trust Tri-State Weather and they are usually the most accurate.
I think I heard many people on here rely on it too.
Ah yes, Mr. Meatball Man.
At least he tells everyone "This is just a MODEL and not a FORECAST if you don't understand what a MODEL is then don't read this post."
2nd model in and less too. Hopefully these are true. I don't believe anything until I see it though but just hoping :)
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:33 PM |
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Kitten1929
LIF Adult
Member since 1/13 6040 total posts
Name:
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Latest Snow Totals
I don't trust FB weatherpeople - who are they anyway? Just weather fans?
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:34 PM |
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NervousNell
Just another chapter in life..
Member since 11/09 54921 total posts
Name:
..being a mommy and being a wife!
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by Kitten1929
I don't trust FB weatherpeople - who are they anyway? Just weather fans?
Generally it's meteorologists who have their own FB pages.
Rich Hoffman from news 12, Tri State Weather, etc
Message edited 1/21/2016 12:45:35 PM.
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:38 PM |
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Lara&Aidansmommy
For mom i miss u ETC ILOVEU
Member since 3/07 13921 total posts
Name:
ETC I LOVE YOU
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Heard it will most likely miss me (NH) completely!
Considering we got walloped last year with a total of 80 inches of snow. Ill take it!!
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:39 PM |
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NervousNell
Just another chapter in life..
Member since 11/09 54921 total posts
Name:
..being a mommy and being a wife!
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Latest from Rich Hofmman
So far - the latest models - shifting heavy snow south of Long Island - I will have a big write up this afternoon once the EWCMF comes out. http://longisland.news12.com/weather/ - I adjusted the forecast a bit. I mentioned this a few times - I think the coastal flooding will be worse than the snowfall. We are on the northern edge - away from the BIG energy.
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:42 PM |
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by NervousNell
Latest from Rich Hofmman
So far - the latest models - shifting heavy snow south of Long Island - I will have a big write up this afternoon once the EWCMF comes out. http://longisland.news12.com/weather/ - I adjusted the forecast a bit. I mentioned this a few times - I think the coastal flooding will be worse than the snowfall. We are on the northern edge - away from the BIG energy.
Rich is on Tri State Weather too so he agrees with them usually.
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:46 PM |
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Jonsgirl04
Love my two girls! xoxo
Member since 9/08 6079 total posts
Name:
Stephanie
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
I love Tri state! Joe Cioffi sometimes makes an appearance too! 
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| Posted 1/21/16 12:58 PM |
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alli3131
Peanut is here!!!!!!
Member since 5/09 18388 total posts
Name:
Allison
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Latest Snow Totals
The NOAA Maps are still showing 8-12 for most of LI. I have been using the maps for years and they are always spot on and they don't give the TC weatherman lets hype everything up and make people crazy
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| Posted 1/21/16 1:17 PM |
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by alli3131
The NOAA Maps are still showing 8-12 for most of LI. I have been using the maps for years and they are always spot on and they don't give the TC weatherman lets hype everything up and make people crazy
Yep I always go by them. Rich Hoffman says he will be fixing his predictions this afternoon so waiting on all of these to see what is going on.
I think they are seeing that the storm might be staying to the south of us. Cross your fingers but then they could say that and we wake up to 2 feet lol
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| Posted 1/21/16 1:34 PM |
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Kitten1929
LIF Adult
Member since 1/13 6040 total posts
Name:
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by NervousNell
Posted by Kitten1929
I don't trust FB weatherpeople - who are they anyway? Just weather fans?
Generally it's meteorologists who have their own FB pages.
Rich Hoffman from news 12, Tri State Weather, etc
Ahhh gotcha...Rich Hoffman is a really nice guy, I almost planned his wedding
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| Posted 1/21/16 1:41 PM |
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Serendipity
Summer!
Member since 4/07 7631 total posts
Name:
PrayingWishingHopingALOT
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Latest Snow Totals
From what I have been reading there are 3 models nam euro and something else. 2 of the 3 are showing less snow. The nam is showing a more snow and blizzard like condition
Message edited 1/21/2016 2:15:43 PM.
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| Posted 1/21/16 1:42 PM |
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NervousNell
Just another chapter in life..
Member since 11/09 54921 total posts
Name:
..being a mommy and being a wife!
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by Serendipity
From what I have been reading there are 3 models nam euro and something else. 2 of the 3 are showing less snow. The nam is showing a blizzard.
Another thing I read on Rich's FB page today was a blizzard doesn't necessary mean the amount of snow, it's the blowing conditions.
So you could get LESS snow totals with a blizzard, but it will be more windy and create white out conditions, etc
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| Posted 1/21/16 1:46 PM |
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AngnShaun
Sisters
Member since 1/10 21015 total posts
Name:
Ang
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Posted by NervousNell
Posted by Serendipity
From what I have been reading there are 3 models nam euro and something else. 2 of the 3 are showing less snow. The nam is showing a blizzard.
Another thing I read on Rich's FB page today was a blizzard doesn't necessary mean the amount of snow, it's the blowing conditions.
So you could get LESS snow totals with a blizzard, but it will be more windy and create white out conditions, etc
I was just about to say that.
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| Posted 1/21/16 1:48 PM |
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Tulips915
................
Member since 8/08 6851 total posts
Name:
Me
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Re: Latest Snow Totals
Latest update from Tri-State Weather on FB:
Afternoon model discussion: With the exception of the NAM model, all other 12z models including the euro have shifted the focus and core of the blizzard to southern New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Washington DC, Delaware and Virginia with a general one to two feet of snow in that region. Any points north like Long Island and NYC would see around 6 inches and points further north into New England, an inch or two. The cold high pressure to the north is suppressing the storm south on the current model guidance. Now, we still have 48 hours to go and as we all know, a small 50 mile shift will once again bring the NY area into the main part of the blizzard. Coastal flooding is still a big concern for the NJ coast and Long Island. Let's see how the storm evolves and what the latest guidance shows this evening and tonight. As always stay with us for all the latest. Scroll the page for individual model maps.
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| Posted 1/21/16 1:49 PM |
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